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Monthly Archives: March 2013
Italian Banks’ Bad-Loan Ratio Rises to Highest in 12 Years
Bad debt occurs when credit sales are not collected as cash. Each industry has its own “normal” level of bad debt as a proportion of total credit sales. For banks, the allowance for bad debt is an account created to estimate the amount of a bank’s loan portfolio that will be ultimately uncollectible. It is also known as “loan-loss reserve”.
The Bloomberg article discusses the recent increase in bad loans at Italian banks. The amount of bad loans achieved its highest level in more than 12 years due to the deep and long recession. This is caused, primarily, because hundreds of small companies are forced to go out of business each day and families are struggling to repay their debts as unemployment rises.
Non-performing loans increased by 18% last year to $163.3 billion and it is expected that bad loans amount keeps rising until the economy starts to recover.
Sources: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-03-19/italian-banks-bad-loan-ratio-rises-to-highest-in-12-years.html
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Target Breathing Big Sigh
It’s been a very hectic three years for retailers. Back in 2008, discretionary spending was down amid greater concerns of a failing economy. Target felt this uncertainty, as seen on their “bad debt expense.” As the retailer saw its third-quarter earnings fall a whopping 24%, it attributed the loss to a higher bad debt expense. Its annual reports stated that the figure, which estimates the amount of uncollectable write-offs it would encounter in the next period, increased about three-fold from 2007 to 2008. Posing a bedeviling problem, the bad debt expense seemed it would linger for as long as the industry-wide credit deterioration would.
It wasn’t until 2010 that Target would see the bad debt expense go down–by nearly 90%. After clearing out its cadre of not-so-receivable receivables, cardholders began to pay down their unpaid credit. This resulted in a decrease of bad debt expense from $138mil in 2009 to $15m in 2010.
Retail consultant at AT Kearny Laura Gurski also attributes the drop to retailers like Target now learning how to manage inventories and delay markdowns. By keeping their inventory priced higher for longer, Target, among other retailers, can retain higher margins. Obviously, the downside to that practice can be the price-sensitive customers who refuse to buy items not on sale.
Furthermore, relying on customer solvency (and therefore credit solvency) to rescue Target’s receivables was a risky move in and of itself. Had the consumer credit crisis lasted longer than it had, Target’s writeoffs would only be exacerbated. There simply cannot be enough said for the effect that the recovery in customer sentiment had on earnings, regardless of how well the firm manages their inventory.
Source:
http://media.corporate-ir.net/media_files/irol/65/65828/AP_Hi.pdf
http://ftalphaville.ft.com/2008/11/18/18331/more-us-retailers-report-grim-results/
http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/b2d837c4-c8e1-11e0-aed8-00144feabdc0.html#axzz2OIHY6KgV
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Big Firms Are Quick to Collect, Slow to Pay
One of the oldest international proverbs, “Big fish eat little fish”, rears it’s head during the 2008 financial crisis in no place other than our beloved receivables and payables turnover ratio. According to an analysis conducted by REL Consultancy for the WSJ, “survival of the fittest” held true even in the corporate world, as shown by the changes in collection time frames between the 2008 and 2009 fiscal year.
For the fiscal year 2009, large corporations ($5 billion or higher in annual sales) on average collected accounts receivables 2% faster than the prior year and paid accounts payables 5% slower. Smaller corporations (less than $500 mil in annual sales) on the other hand collected accounts receivables 8.3% slower, and paid accounts payables 6.5% faster (on average).
Since most of these collections are tied to each other in B2B exchanges, the biggest companies are flexing their financial prowess at the expense of smaller companies. The implications of this are two fold. First, there is a loss of money. As the concept time value of money has proven, money earlier is better than money later. Paying slower and collecting faster, albeit only a few days or weeks, can account to significant amounts of interest in large transactions. Second, there is a disturbance to business flow integrity. Most smaller companies do not keep large amounts of cash on-hand, their business model implicates their survival on day to day cash inflow/outflows. Disrupting this model by forcing smaller companies to pay sooner and get paid later can cause cash flow problems that requires outside assistances in the form of short term loans. (Unfortunately, much too similar to how most Americans live their lives but this is a different topic all together.) Sometimes the middle-of-the-line companies can be affected the hardest, because they are dealing with both larger and smaller businesses, even if they have some financial muscles versus the smaller businesses, they spend significant amount of resources negotiating between both sides.
We have to keep in mind however, that larger companies do not often have complete free reign to impose their terms on smaller counterparts. They have to do so with a certain amount of finesse. Pushing too hard might cause the smaller companies to find other business partners, cause significant loss of faith which may affect relationships in the future, or worse yet, drive the smaller companies out of business. The latter can affect the larger company as well, slowing down their business and forcing them to find new partnerships.
At the end of the day, no matter how much balance or respect businesses have for each other, it will always be the smaller businesses that lose out in times of economic turmoil. No doubt Darwinism applies to corporations as well.
source: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB125167116756270697.html?mg=id-wsj
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Lobbyists Give LIFO a Lifeline
You may have run across a faux prophet proclaiming “the end is near” and scoffed at his deluded conviction. However, to watch the news as of March 2013 you would believe the prophet was sourcing the Associated Press. Reportedly, we walked the plank and were living in a post-apocalyptic age; floating in limbo, unaware of our newfound economic dystopia. The word du jour, “sequestration,” or the series of budget cuts collectively known as “the sequester”.
Initially designed by Congress to be a painful, indiscriminate, “fiscal doomsday” that would force our legislative bodies to work together and pass a major budget resolution, the sequestration is a product of the Budget Control Act of 2011. The kerfuffle, then known as the “fiscal cliff,” was yet another action versus deadline squabble so widespread in hype and speculation that the uncertainty around America’s future contributed to our credit downgrade by Standard & Poor’s from triple A to double A plus. In late 2012, the dire deficit-reduction was postponed from its original start date of January 2, 2013 to March 1, 2013 allowing Congress more time to reach a deal. However, no deal was made and as of March 1, 2013 sequestration began.
Currently, nearly 1 trillion dollars in spending cuts are set to take effect over the next 9 years; half from military spending, the other half from domestic programs and initiatives. $85 billion in cuts are set to begin immediately. Thousands of government employees have received notices of work and wage cuts. Millions are lined up to be siphoned from programs like Head Start. Meanwhile, more stalemates appear in Congress. Politically, the sequestration is a happy accident. Representatives and senators can express a lot of sound and fury, signifying nothing while letting this so-called “meat ax” to spending make significant though ham-fisted progress in deficit-reduction.
President Obama has led the call for budget overhaul for more than a year now. He’s offered his plan to cut “tax loopholes”. One specific tax loophole catching attention is the accounting method known as Last In, First Out (or LIFO). Using LIFO, companies can make assumptions as to the cost of their goods sold reporting the most recently purchased items in their inventory as the items sold during operations. The older inventory purchased at lower cost carries over to future years. The resulting higher costs of good sold is a lower net income and thus lower tax liability for companies using this accounting method. Needless to say, LIFO is popular among U.S. corporations.
The “loophole” reduction plan has been met with staunch opposition from corporations. Were it to gain support and become law, companies would not only have to spend the time and money converting to an alternative method (most likely the “First In, First Out” cost flow assumption) but these firms would also become responsible for the tax savings they had accumulated over the years. It’s hard to find companies that willingly want to pay more taxes. Rite Aid has saved approximately $372 million using LIFO accounting.
Lobbyist have come out of the wood works in opposition to proposals to cut LIFO. The website OpenSecrets.org lists documents reporting hundreds of thousands of dollars spent in their efforts to influence the House of Representatives and the Senate. The expenses incurred fighting the proposal pale in comparison to the amount of taxes these corporations would be responsible for otherwise. Meanwhile, organizations such as the Associated Equipment Distributors have joined larger groups in the LIFO Coalition to launch websites such as SaveLIFO.org in attempts to sway public opinion. President Obama, on the other hand, hit his highest approval ratings in February of 2013 since his first year in office.
The entire fiasco around “the sequester” would make a talented bit of politicking were it the intention all along. Avert the “fiscal cliff” by agreeing to a raised debt-ceiling and harsh spending cuts thus giving both liberal and conservative politicians their desired result to take back to their constituencies. From there, attempt to work out a better deal while compromising little-to-nothing until the budget cuts come into effect. Once the cuts begin, claim the other side wouldn’t meet you in the middle while austerity measures slip by the general public eye. Give soundbites full of sound and fury but signifying nothing for the press. In the end, claim that under your watch the deficit was cut by hundreds of billions of dollars.
Sources:
House.gov | Budget Control Act Summary
House.gov | Stop Sequesters Job Loss Now Act Fact Sheet
OpenSecrets.org | Lobbyist Spending
CBS News | Three Weeks In Sequester Impacts Growing
Washington Post | Is Sequester Here To Stay?
Reuters | Fitch to Potentially Lower US Rating
USDebtClock.org | US Debt Clock
Politico.com | Poll: Obama Approval Highest Since ’09
SaveLIFO.org
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Tagged Accounting, Budget Control Act, congress, fifo, fiscal cliff, lifo, lobbyists, sequestration, spending cuts, Standard & Poor's
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Obama Administration and LIFO [Neerupama Yadav]
This article talks about the changes to the LIFO Accounting method, which Obama Administration is considering.
The Obama administration has scoured the tax code looking for “loopholes” to close to generate more revenue. According to, The New York Times, Barack Obama describes the “last-in, first-out” rule of inventory accounting as “arcane”. However but it will be a critical problem for businesses if the decade-long tax rule gets changed. Instead of using the last sale price of inventory as a cost basis to determine taxable profit, the elimination of the LIFO rule will create accounting headaches that will impact smaller businesses most.
The effect of the accounting change would be significant, and in pushing for it Mr. Obama has kicked a hornet’s nest. Lobbyists from companies of all sizes are swarming around Congress to kill the proposal, which would prohibit the use of an accounting technique known as last in, first out, or LIFO which is used to determine the cost of goods sold, and therefore the income earned, by a company.
By eliminating LIFO accounting technique, Obama Administration has projected to raise $65 billion to $95 billion over 10 years. This would increase the taxable income and tax liability of companies that have been using this method of accounting for decades. Small businesses, manufacturers, wholesalers, retailers and oil companies would be especially hard hit as a result of this change.
The president’s proposal would also undo the tax benefits that companies have obtained by using the LIFO method of accounting over the years. The government would tell companies that they must go back and recalculate the tax savings they have claimed for decades. The proposal requires that tax be paid on long-deferred gains with the provision that the tax could be paid over a period of 10 years.
In moving forward with this accounting change, the administration needs to consider the overall impact it will have on the businesses and indirectly on the US economy.
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Rite Aid Turns a Corner
Rite Aid Turns a Corner
Rite aid posted its first quarterly profit in 5½ years, as shoppers filled more prescriptions and stuck around to buy more incidentals in renovated stores. Shares jumped 18%, or 19 cents, to $1.24 in recent trading as investors were cheered by the news. Rite Aid, which also offered an improved fiscal 2013 per-share earnings target, last reported a profitable quarter in summer 2007.
The company’s firmer footing can be attributed to several factors. Rite Aid has cut costs and refinanced billions of dollars in debt. Rite Aid’s results have also been bolstered by the retailer’s loyalty program rollout and store renovations under a new format that expands clinical pharmacy services and offers more health and wellness products. Rite Aid remodeled 114 stores during the latest quarter and has in total converted 687 locations into the new wellness format. Rite Aid’s results have also been helped by a jolt in the number of prescriptions the company filled at its stores after millions of customers transferred their prescriptions when Walgreen exited pharmacy-benefits manager Express Scripts Holding Co.’s network at the beginning of 2012.
For the quarter ended Dec. 1. 2012, Rite Aid reported a profit of $61.9 million, or seven cents a share, compared with a loss of $52 million, or six cents a share, a year earlier.
Since 2007 Rite aid has recorded net losses. Rite Aid, using LIFO method, hasn’t needed to pay tax or dividends, since they haven’t had net income for a while. However, investors were not happy about Rite Aid’s performance. Due to several reasons the article previously mentioned, Rite Aid restarted to record net income instead of net loss.
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324461604578191231912454290.html
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