Moore’s Law was made in 1965 by Intel co-founder Gordon E. Moore. Since then, the law has been in full effect, and the number of transistors placed inexpensively on an circuit board has consistently doubled every two years, or some claim an 18 month cycle. But Moore’s Law won’t be true forever, and theoretical physicist, Michio Kaku thinks he knows how it will collapse. He argues that the collapse isn’t going to happen in some distant future but within the next decade. The problem is finding a replacement for silicon together with the exponential nature of Moore’s Law. Basically, computing power cannot go on doubling every two years forever. Another issue is we are about to reach the limits of silicon. According to Kaku, “once we get done to 5nm processes for chip production, silicon is finished. Any smaller and processors will just overheat. What’s beyond silicon? There have been a number of proposals: protein computers, DNA computers, optical computers, quantum computers, molecular computers.”
Could he be right about the dead-end of our current technology limitations? Could technology ever reach the intelligence of a human brain?
If the brain were so simple we could understand it, we would be so simple we couldn’t.
This reminds me of one of Adam Smith’s theories of technology, and how it effects economies. We basically says that every X number of years, an economy reaches a stagnant state. But eventually, new technology is introduced into the economy that brings it out of the stagnant state and stimulates growth. This is a trend that has been shown in the past century, which is why I agree with Adam Smith’s theory, and not so much with Moore’s Law.