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…And Your 2013 New York Mets Pitching Staff Is…
With the Mets hopelessly out of playoff contention for this year, it’s not too early to look forward to next year. This projection takes into account free agency, but not trades. Today’s topic is the pitching staff.
First, the current staff. All italicized players are impending free agents
Starters:
- R.A. Dickey
- Johan Santana
- Jonathon Niese
- Chris Young
- Matt Harvey
Bullpen:
- Frank Francisco
- Bobby Parnell
- Josh Edgin
- Jon Rauch
- Ramon Ramirez
- Jeremy Hefner
- Manny Acosta
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>><<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
The Mets shouldn’t have to look outside the organization for starting help. R.A. Dickey’s option is a no-brainer to pick up, Niese signed an extension earlier in the year so he’d staying put, and Harvey is here to stay. Santana has a spot next year, but it wouldn’t be surprising if the Mets decide to trade him and his expiring contract next year when the feel that wunderkind Zach Wheeler is ready. Chris Young may be leaving, but Dillon Gee is due back next year, and should take his rotation spot. Mike Pelfrey, who began the year in the Mets’ rotation, is an obvious non-tender candidate, but it’s not out of the question the Mets would resign him at a reduced rate and stash him in Buffalo as depth.
The bullpen has been a mess all year, so expect a major overhaul. Edgin and Parnell have spots that are theirs to lose (young, cheap, power arms are valuable commodities). Francisco is there because the Mets will continue to justify his contract ($6.5 million next year). Ramirez will leave in free agency, and Acosta will be non-tendered. The Mets could re-sign Jon Rauch, but it’s probable he’ll seek one more pay day as he’s putting up career numbers. Hefner will probably go back to the farm, and become Dillon Gee 2.0 (first starter up if injury strikes, and consistently inconsistent). That means the Mets will have to fill up four empty bullpen spots.
Two of those bullpen spots should be reserved for Jeurys Familia and Jenrry Mejia. Both are being stretched out as starters in AAA, but there’s no room for both of them in the majors. With Niese, Harvey, and Wheeler already under control for the next 4+ years, there wouldn’t be room for both if the Mets give Dickey a deserved contract extension, and signed a marquee free agent in a few years (a rotation where your #5 starter is Niese sounds scary, doesn’t it?). Both Familia and Mejia have good fastballs, and Familia has a potential knee-buckling curve, while Mejia throws a nice changeup. They both also need to improve their command, but their stuff is nasty enough to solidify a weak bullpen.
With two more spots, the Mets will likely need to go outside the organization to fill these. They’re in need of a Lefty One Out Guy (affectionately known as a L.O.O.G.Y) with Byrdak having possible career ending injuries. Randy Choate is available, and absolutely kills lefties, but would be chased by contending teams that can offer more money, so my guess is the Mets go with Mike Gonzalez as their L.O.O.G.Y. He’s got a career 2.90 ERA over 10 big league seasons, and is returning to form as a member of the rival Nationals. At 34 years old, he’s winding down is his career, but the Mets will slightly overpay him for two years of service, in part because of their need, and in part because it would take away a Nationals reliever.
Going truly outside the box, the Mets may fill up their last bullpen spot with the Australian side-armer Peter Moylan. While the medical red flags would obviously be raised, he’s a low-risk, high-reward candiate. He has a career 2.60 ERA, and has posted years with the rival Braves that were really, really, good. Plus, Moylan doesn’t like Nickelback, which is worth the signing even if he had a 4.60 ERA.
So to recap, here’s how I believe the New York Mets’ 2013 pitching staff will look like
Starters:
- R.A. Dickey
- Johan Santana
- Jonathon Niese
- Matt Harvey
- Dillon Gee
Bullpen:
- Frank Francisco
- Bobby Parnell
- Jenrry Mejia
- Josh Edgin
- Jeurys Familia
- Peter Moylan
- Mike Gonzalez
Posted in Acostalypse, Atlanta Braves, Bobby Parnell, Chris Young, Dillon Gee, Frank Francisco a.k.a ineffective K-Rod, Holy Shit That's A Lot of Tags, Jenrry Mejia, Jeremy Hefner: No Relation to Hugh, Jeurys Familia, Johan Santana, Jon Rauch, Jonathon Niese, Josh Edgin, LOOGY Love, Manny Acosta, Matt Harvey, Mike Gonzalez, Mike Pelfrey, Nickelback is Awful, No. The Other Chris Young (the injured one), Peter Moylan, R.A. Dickey, Ramon Ramirez, Tim Byrdak, Unfounded Projections, Washington Nationals, Zach Wheeler
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…And Your 2013 New York Mets Pitching Staff Is…
With the Mets hopelessly out of playoff contention for this year, it’s not too early to look forward to next year. This projection takes into account free agency, but not trades. Today’s topic is the pitching staff.
First, the current staff. All italicized players are impending free agents
Starters:
- R.A. Dickey
- Johan Santana
- Jonathon Niese
- Chris Young
- Matt Harvey
Bullpen:
- Frank Francisco
- Bobby Parnell
- Josh Edgin
- Jon Rauch
- Ramon Ramirez
- Jeremy Hefner
- Manny Acosta
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>><<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
The Mets shouldn’t have to look outside the organization for starting help. R.A. Dickey’s option is a no-brainer to pick up, Niese signed an extension earlier in the year so he’d staying put, and Harvey is here to stay. Santana has a spot next year, but it wouldn’t be surprising if the Mets decide to trade him and his expiring contract next year when the feel that wunderkind Zach Wheeler is ready. Chris Young may be leaving, but Dillon Gee is due back next year, and should take his rotation spot. Mike Pelfrey, who began the year in the Mets’ rotation, is an obvious non-tender candidate, but it’s not out of the question the Mets would resign him at a reduced rate and stash him in Buffalo as depth.
The bullpen has been a mess all year, so expect a major overhaul. Edgin and Parnell have spots that are theirs to lose (young, cheap, power arms are valuable commodities). Francisco is there because the Mets will continue to justify his contract ($6.5 million next year). Ramirez will leave in free agency, and Acosta will be non-tendered. The Mets could re-sign Jon Rauch, but it’s probable he’ll seek one more pay day as he’s putting up career numbers. Hefner will probably go back to the farm, and become Dillon Gee 2.0 (first starter up if injury strikes, and consistently inconsistent). That means the Mets will have to fill up four empty bullpen spots.
Two of those bullpen spots should be reserved for Jeurys Familia and Jenrry Mejia. Both are being stretched out as starters in AAA, but there’s no room for both of them in the majors. With Niese, Harvey, and Wheeler already under control for the next 4+ years, there wouldn’t be room for both if the Mets give Dickey a deserved contract extension, and signed a marquee free agent in a few years (a rotation where your #5 starter is Niese sounds scary, doesn’t it?). Both Familia and Mejia have good fastballs, and Familia has a potential knee-buckling curve, while Mejia throws a nice changeup. They both also need to improve their command, but their stuff is nasty enough to solidify a weak bullpen.
With two more spots, the Mets will likely need to go outside the organization to fill these. They’re in need of a Lefty One Out Guy (affectionately known as a L.O.O.G.Y) with Byrdak having possible career ending injuries. Randy Choate is available, and absolutely kills lefties, but would be chased by contending teams that can offer more money, so my guess is the Mets go with Mike Gonzalez as their L.O.O.G.Y. He’s got a career 2.90 ERA over 10 big league seasons, and is returning to form as a member of the rival Nationals. At 34 years old, he’s winding down is his career, but the Mets will slightly overpay him for two years of service, in part because of their need, and in part because it would take away a Nationals reliever.
Going truly outside the box, the Mets may fill up their last bullpen spot with the Australian side-armer Peter Moylan. While the medical red flags would obviously be raised, he’s a low-risk, high-reward candiate. He has a career 2.60 ERA, and has posted years with the rival Braves that were really, really, good. Plus, Moylan doesn’t like Nickelback, which is worth the signing even if he had a 4.60 ERA.
So to recap, here’s how I believe the New York Mets’ 2013 pitching staff will look like
Starters:
- R.A. Dickey
- Johan Santana
- Jonathon Niese
- Matt Harvey
- Dillon Gee
Bullpen:
- Frank Francisco
- Bobby Parnell
- Jenrry Mejia
- Josh Edgin
- Jeurys Familia
- Peter Moylan
- Mike Gonzalez
Posted in Acostalypse, Atlanta Braves, Bobby Parnell, Chris Young, Dillon Gee, Frank Francisco a.k.a ineffective K-Rod, Holy Shit That's A Lot of Tags, Jenrry Mejia, Jeremy Hefner: No Relation to Hugh, Jeurys Familia, Johan Santana, Jon Rauch, Jonathon Niese, Josh Edgin, LOOGY Love, Manny Acosta, Matt Harvey, Mike Gonzalez, Mike Pelfrey, Nickelback is Awful, No. The Other Chris Young (the injured one), Peter Moylan, R.A. Dickey, Ramon Ramirez, Tim Byrdak, Unfounded Projections, Washington Nationals, Zach Wheeler
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Player Profile: On Matt Harvery
via Nj.com
Yes his name is Matt Harvey, but don’t tell that to the Mets. I mean there must be more to the starter who has excited Mets fan and given them restrained hope for the future. As the press release above correctly states, the Mets selected Harvey as the seventh overall pick in the 2010 first-year player draft. Harvey was the highest draft pick the Mets’ have had since 2004, in which they selected Phillip Humber No. 3 overall.
He is the reward for a miserable year that featured a 40-year-old Gary Sheffield’s carcass patrolling LF (a slight improvement over Jason Bay), Omir Santos as the everyday catcher, and Livan Hernandez and Tim Redding making the most starts in the rotation. That means that Matt Harvey is the Mets’ primary compensation for going 70-92 in 2009. Can one pitcher make up for such an excruciatingly bad year?
So far, yes. Since 2009 the Mets have progressed from mediocre to sub-par. They’re on the verge of becoming average, and possibly, a couple of years away from contention. Harvey is a key cog in all that: He’s the only Mets’ starter who can wow you with his pitches. He’s a power arm, with a durable build; a build Mets fans are hoping can carry this team into relevance.
***
via ProspectNation.com
Matt Harvey was born in New London, Connecticut on March 27th, 1989. He attended Fitch Senior High School in Connecticut, and as a senior Harvey had a sensational year, finishing with a 0.64 ERA and tallying 112 Ks over 54-and-a-third innings pitched. Harvey was named the Connecticut player of the year by Gatorade, and was considered one of the top high school pitchers in the draft along with Jarrod Parker, Madison Bumgarner, and Phillipe Aumont. He fell to the Los Angeles Angels in the third round (118th overall) due to signability concerns, and declined to sign for a $1,000,000 bonus. According to a LA Times article, his father Ed called it “the major disappointment of his life, at that point, not signing out of high school.”
Harvey spurned the Angels to accept a scholarship to the University of North Carolina. After an unspectacular year as a freshman, Harvey was dreadful his sophomore year. While his electric fastball didn’t lose any of its speed, he lost all control of it and finished with a 5.40 ERA.
While his issues were purely mechanical, scouts wondered if Harvey could stay as a starting pitcher. They felt he could be a shutdown reliever, but not a guy who you would starting every fifth day. Harvey corrected his flaws between his sophomore and junior campaigns, ultimately ending up with the ninth most strikeouts, and tenth most wins in Tarheel history. He finished his junior year with the Tarheels with a 3.09 ERA, 102 Ks, and 35 BBs in 96 innings of work.
His control came back and he was once again considered one of the top arms in a draft class featuring pitchers Jameson Taillon, Drew Pomeranz, and Chris Sale. While phenom Bryce Harper went first overall, Harvey was the fourth pitcher to come off the board and was considered an overdraft by the Mets.
***
via ESPN.com
He’s been anything but since, and he’s been a sparkplug to a fading franchise. Needing only a year-and-a-half in the minors before making the big leagues, Harvey looks like he’s here to stay. Harvey also possess a competitive attitude that borders on being a little too much. After his first career loss to the Giants in which he gave up two runs over 6+ innings he said he expects to go out and put 0s on the board, and anything less is a failure in his eyes.
He’s a Met with a not-so-Met attitude. Met fans just hope an unstoppable force of a winning attitude does beat the immovable object known as Mets futility.
Posted in Bryce Harper, Bryce Harper's Natitude, Chris Sale, Connecticut, Draft, Drew Pomeranz, Gatorade, Jameson Taillon, Jason Bay, Jason Bay's Contract Is So Big It Requires It's Own Tag, Los California Angels of Anaheim located in the United States of the West Hemisphere on the planet Earth, Matt Harvey, New York Mets, Omar Minaya, Omar Minaya's Good Moves, Player Profiles, San Francisco Giants, UNC
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Player Profile: On Matt Harvery
via Nj.com
Yes his name is Matt Harvey, but don’t tell that to the Mets. I mean there must be more to the starter who has excited Mets fan and given them restrained hope for the future. As the press release above correctly states, the Mets selected Harvey as the seventh overall pick in the 2010 first-year player draft. Harvey was the highest draft pick the Mets’ have had since 2004, in which they selected Phillip Humber No. 3 overall.
He is the reward for a miserable year that featured a 40-year-old Gary Sheffield’s carcass patrolling LF (a slight improvement over Jason Bay), Omir Santos as the everyday catcher, and Livan Hernandez and Tim Redding making the most starts in the rotation. That means that Matt Harvey is the Mets’ primary compensation for going 70-92 in 2009. Can one pitcher make up for such an excruciatingly bad year?
So far, yes. Since 2009 the Mets have progressed from mediocre to sub-par. They’re on the verge of becoming average, and possibly, a couple of years away from contention. Harvey is a key cog in all that: He’s the only Mets’ starter who can wow you with his pitches. He’s a power arm, with a durable build; a build Mets fans are hoping can carry this team into relevance.
***
via ProspectNation.com
Matt Harvey was born in New London, Connecticut on March 27th, 1989. He attended Fitch Senior High School in Connecticut, and as a senior Harvey had a sensational year, finishing with a 0.64 ERA and tallying 112 Ks over 54-and-a-third innings pitched. Harvey was named the Connecticut player of the year by Gatorade, and was considered one of the top high school pitchers in the draft along with Jarrod Parker, Madison Bumgarner, and Phillipe Aumont. He fell to the Los Angeles Angels in the third round (118th overall) due to signability concerns, and declined to sign for a $1,000,000 bonus. According to a LA Times article, his father Ed called it “the major disappointment of his life, at that point, not signing out of high school.”
Harvey spurned the Angels to accept a scholarship to the University of North Carolina. After an unspectacular year as a freshman, Harvey was dreadful his sophomore year. While his electric fastball didn’t lose any of its speed, he lost all control of it and finished with a 5.40 ERA.
While his issues were purely mechanical, scouts wondered if Harvey could stay as a starting pitcher. They felt he could be a shutdown reliever, but not a guy who you would starting every fifth day. Harvey corrected his flaws between his sophomore and junior campaigns, ultimately ending up with the ninth most strikeouts, and tenth most wins in Tarheel history. He finished his junior year with the Tarheels with a 3.09 ERA, 102 Ks, and 35 BBs in 96 innings of work.
His control came back and he was once again considered one of the top arms in a draft class featuring pitchers Jameson Taillon, Drew Pomeranz, and Chris Sale. While phenom Bryce Harper went first overall, Harvey was the fourth pitcher to come off the board and was considered an overdraft by the Mets.
***
via ESPN.com
He’s been anything but since, and he’s been a sparkplug to a fading franchise. Needing only a year-and-a-half in the minors before making the big leagues, Harvey looks like he’s here to stay. Harvey also possess a competitive attitude that borders on being a little too much. After his first career loss to the Giants in which he gave up two runs over 6+ innings he said he expects to go out and put 0s on the board, and anything less is a failure in his eyes.
He’s a Met with a not-so-Met attitude. Met fans just hope an unstoppable force of a winning attitude does beat the immovable object known as Mets futility.
Posted in Bryce Harper, Bryce Harper's Natitude, Chris Sale, Connecticut, Draft, Drew Pomeranz, Gatorade, Jameson Taillon, Jason Bay, Jason Bay's Contract Is So Big It Requires It's Own Tag, Los California Angels of Anaheim located in the United States of the West Hemisphere on the planet Earth, Matt Harvey, New York Mets, Omar Minaya, Omar Minaya's Good Moves, Player Profiles, San Francisco Giants, UNC
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Phantom GM Part 1: Shipping Up to Oakland (Update)
EDIT: Fautino De Los Santos was traded to Milwaukee earlier this morning in exchange for catcher George Kottaras. This news broke hours after I had finished the original post around 2:46am. The proposal, as it stands, is invalid.
The Trade Deadline is quickly approaching, and the Mets, thankfully, are looking more like sellers as each loss piles up. While Sandy Alderson and his personnel were looking for pieces to buy as recently as three weeks ago, the abrupt struggles by the Mets leave them little time to work out trades with the still-contending teams.
For help that nobody in the Mets’ organization will ever see, and mostly for my personal amusement, I’ll be developing a trade a day until the trade deadline. Each one makes sense on paper and will help the Mets for a run next year.
Without further ado, today’s trade suggestion:
The Mets send 2B Daniel Murphy, RHP Ramon Ramirez, and cash considerations to the Oakland Athletics for RHP A.J. Griffin, RHP Fautino De Los Santos, and RHP Arnold Leon.
Murphy is a fan-favorite, has a good bat, and is under team control until the end of the 2015 season, so the Mets would expect a decent return on him. On the season, Murphy has a .303 average, as well as .773 OPS.
Oakland’s starting 2B is their homegrown, first-round pick, Jemile Weeks. While Weeks had a team-high batting average in 2011 (.303), he’s only hitting .216 this year, and has a dreadful .602 OPS.
If they’re serious about making a Wild Card run (especially after a magical July where they’re 17-3), they’re going to need better production, and Murphy will give them a solid #2 hitter. Murphy can also play 1B, 3B, and even some OF, giving Oakland the opportunity to figure things out.
Adding Ramon Ramirez and paying the rest of his contract is to help acquire the prospects Oakland would give up. Ramirez had a few tremendous years up until 2012, and maybe needs a change of scenery. While Oakland doesn’t need bullpen help, Ramirez has the potential to be a dominant 7th or 8th inning guy and has playoff experience.
As for who the Mets’ would get, A.J. Griffin is a #3 or #4 starter type with a below-average fastball, good control, and a nasty changeup. He won’t dominate anybody, but has a career 5.15 K:BB ratio in the minors.
Acquiring him would give the Mets a Santana-Dickey-Niese-Harvey-Griffin rotation for 2013, which honestly, isn’t that bad. Griffin doesn’t really profile into Oakland’s future either, as he’s only being called up as an injury-replacement to their ace, Brandon McCarthy.
Next year, the A’s have four other starting pitchers with big league experience under contract. Griffin is buried behind Brett Anderson, Jarrod Parker, Tommy Milone, and Dallas Braden. He’s also less highly-regarded than 2010 first-round pick Sonny Gray, the emerging Dan Straily, and Brad Peacock, who the A’s acquired from Washington in the Gio Gonzalez trade. Oakland would be wise to move him while his value is at an all-time high, especially with their surplus of arms.
Arnold Leon and Fautino De Los Santos would give the Mets two more electric arms out of the bullpen. The A’s major league bullpen has been outstanding, which is why Leon hasn’t been promoted yet despite a 2.96 ERA and averaging 11.1 K/9 across three levels in the minors. He sits comfortably around 93mph, has a good curve, and above-average control. He would be an immediate asset to the Mets’ beleaguered bullpen.
De Los Santos has some big league experience, and has a 95-96mph fastball to go with a wipeout slider that averages around 83mph. He has all the peripherals to be a big-league closer, add adding him and Leon to the current Mets power arms (Bobby Parnell, Josh Edgin, Jennry Mejia, and Jeurys Familia) would give the Mets are far more formidable bullpen then they’ve had all of this year.
Why would the Athletics give up on a command starter, and two possibly great relievers? Because they’d get a needed stabilizing bat in the lineup, while keeping the rest of their current roster intact. Murphy is cheap for another three years after the end of the season, something the penny-pinching Athletics love. Griffin is a surplus, and Leon and De Los Santos are relievers who will help in 2013. The A’s aren’t in possession of the #1 Wild Card and 55-45 in 2013 though. They’re in possession of the #1 Wild Card and 55-45 in 2012.
Posted in A.J. Griffin, Arnold Leon, Bobby Parnell, Brad Peacock, Brett Anderson, Dallas Braden, Dan "The Man" Straily, Daniel Murphy, Dropkick Murphy References, Fautino De Los Santos, Gio Gonzalez, Holy Shit That's A Lot of Tags, Jarrod Parker, Jemile Weeks, Jenrry Mejia, Jeurys Familia, Johan Santana, Jonathan Niese, Josh Edgin, Matt Harvey, Oakland Athletics, Phantom GM, R.A. Dickey, Sandy Alderson, Shipping Up to Oakland, Sonny Gray, Tommy Milone, Trade Deadline, Wild Card
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