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May 22 2022

Native Turnout Jeopardized by New Suppression Laws and Less Outreach

By Gabriel Rivera

Strong turnout among Arizona’s Native American voters during the 2020 presidential election helped Joe Biden secure a key win in the battleground state and propel him to the White House.

Grassroots voter registration on reservations, facilitated by an infusion of funding from Democratic Party organizations, resulted in up to 13 percent increases in turnout in some voting precincts on reservations and tens of thousands of more votes from tribal communities statewide, according to an analysis by The Associated Press.

The big question in Arizona political circles now is whether Native voters will match those numbers in the 2022 midterm elections, where their ballots will be pivotal to key races for secretary of state, governor, U.S. Senate and seats in the House and state legislature.

Early indications show replicating the 2020 turnout will be difficult.

Diminished voter outreach to tribal communities and more than 50 Republican-backed bills in the state legislature designed to restrict access to ballots and polls threatens to jeopardize the progress made in mobilizing the voter bloc two years ago.

Salt River Pima-Maricopa Indian Community President Martin Harvier says voting on the reservation was easier in 2020 due to additional polling stations. (Photo by Tahreem Ashraf)

“More people had the opportunity to vote the way it was set up (in 2020), and I don’t know, in the next election, if we’re going to go back to the way it was,” said Martin Harvier, president of the Salt River Pima-Maricopa Indian Community, just east of Phoenix. “But every year, in our state legislature, there’s always things that are being introduced, and it seems like it’s always a detriment to the tribal communities, almost preventing people to vote, whether it’s an ID or your physical address that’s needed.”

Since elections fall under state jurisdiction, voter accessibility among Native Americans is largely determined by the willingness of the state to work with tribal communities.

Arizona has a decades-long history of suppressing the Native vote, subjecting tribal members to literacy tests and poll taxes. Now, Arizona is disenfranchising tribal communities through legislation disguised as election security.

A law passed earlier this year requires all Arizona voters to prove their citizenship to cast a ballot in federal elections and newly registered voters to provide proof of address. The latter provision threatens rural parts of tribal communities, where residents often have a P.O. box instead of a permanent address.

An artifact of Arizona’s ongoing history of voter suppression is its decentralized election system, which entrusts individual counties with implementing a variety of election policies. The result is that policies relating to things like polling locations, drop boxes and whether a vote will be discarded because the person voted at the wrong polling place vary from county to county in Arizona.

Half of all reservations in Arizona are bisected or trisected by county lines, forcing some members of the same tribe to follow different county election policies, confounding the process of voter registration and casting a ballot.

“After almost every establishment or expansion of a reservation (in Arizona), it was followed by the creation of new county lines,” said Torey Dolan, a Native Vote Fellow with the Indian Legal Clinic of the Arizona State University Sandra Day O’Connor College of Law.

Dolan, who is a citizen of the Choctaw Nation, noted this dynamic has occurred with about half of all tribes in Arizona, creating additional institutional barriers to disenfranchise tribal communities.

“The system was not built for Natives to participate,” added Dolan.

Navajo Nation, which is the largest tribe in the United States and inhabits land the size of West Virginia, is trisected by Arizona’s county lines. The three counties it is divided into — Coconino, Navajo and Apache  — each have a distinct model of voting with different restrictions on where to physically cast a ballot.

The Arizona Democratic Party sought to organize at the county level when it launched “Project 15/30” last summer. It was a year-round community building effort designed to educate and register voters in the state’s 15 counties and 30 legislative districts.

State Democrats lauded the initiative as a proactive measure ahead of the 2022 midterms, as they hoped the program’s emphasis on grassroots organizing would preserve the left’s progress in Arizona, including increasing the Native vote, and defend against disinformation and voter suppression efforts targeted at minority voter blocs.

But since its launch, the state Democratic Party has folded “Project 15/30” back into its existing electoral projects, said Charlie Fisher, executive director of the Arizona Democratic Party.

He said the ADP still has a full-time deputy political director whose job is to build and strengthen relationships with the state’s 22 tribal nations, mainly working with tribal leaders to support their volunteer efforts. Fisher added that the state party had contributed to both the Navajo and Apache County Democratic parties in 2021 and planned to do so again this year.

But Jaynie Parrish, the executive director of the Navajo County Democrats, said the state party could do more.

Jaynie Parrish, executive director of the Navajo County Democrats, looks to increase Native voter turnout despite funding cuts. (Photo taken by Tahreem Ashraf)

Since 2020, Parrish and the small group of community organizers that compose the Navajo County Democrats have mobilized onto reservations and operated phone-bank and voter-registration events tailored to Arizona’s tribal communities. This is a year-round effort to educate and encourage those they consider “high potential voters” to get in the habit of casting a ballot, all while on a strapped budget and with limited support from Democratic organizers.

“They’re just not there,” Parrish, the executive director of the Navajo County Democrats, said regarding the Democrats’ voter outreach efforts to tribal communities. “They just can’t move like we can, they can’t make decisions as quickly as we can. If we want to do something, we do it.”

Fisher said that since the tribal nations are at different stages of reopening their lands during the pandemic, much of the state party’s activity is done remotely.

Many tribal leaders and voting activists also have noted the largest threat to the Native turnout for the upcoming midterms is the unknown effect of voter suppression bills working their way through the GOP-led state legislature.

While some proposed bills are designed to make voting harder, the state’s GOP is also passing legislation designed to subvert voter outreach efforts. A ban on private funding for election administrators enacted recently by the Arizona state legislature will prohibit counties from receiving grants to help run elections and voter outreach on the pretext of expunging external influences from state elections.

But some of the most underfunded counties in the state that benefited from private grants from nonprofit organizations are home to tribal communities, and the extra money in many cases went to political advertisements and outreach personalized to Native voters, which in large part catalyzed voter turnout in 2020.

With less money coming from outside donors, counties will likely divert funds and voter registration and education resources away from reservations to get the most “bang for their buck” when it comes to outreach, according to Dolan.

Parrish’s team is currently contextualizing the latest voting changes in Arizona to educate tribal communities, adapt their voter outreach model and determine ways to support under-resourced county offices that may struggle to galvanize the Native vote because of the latest ban on private funds.

But her effort can only go so far without the sustained support of the Democratic party, she said.

“We’re giving you our plans, we’re telling you what to do, we’re making the roadmap for you like, I don’t know how much easier we can make this for you guys without charging a consulting fee, which you paid someone from D.C. $10,000-plus to figure it out for you, but they don’t know anything about our community,” Parrish said.

 

 

 

 

Written by VHaller · Categorized: Vote

May 22 2022

Young Latino Voters Experience a Political Awakening

By Yadira Gonzalez

Armando Alvarez, 20, a resident of Phoenix’s heavily Latino neighborhood of Maryvale, said his political awakening came not because of the turmoil surrounding the 2020 presidential election, but because of a local initiative that directly impacted his life.

​​Alvarez said that it was only after Arizona voters passed Proposition 208 in 2020 that he learned it taxed those with an income exceeding $250,000, raising money towards teachers’ salaries and school initiatives and benefiting his own public school.

“I didn’t know about that and that was literally something we voted on in 2020,” Alvarez said. (A superior court judge struck down the proposition as unconstitutional in March 2022.)

“One of the biggest things is letting the community and most importantly letting the younger people know voting is something that affects every one of us,” he added.

​​Alvarez credits his political education to the Maryvale YMCA, a supportive center for its largely Latino community, offering the area’s youth jobs and services. During high school, Alvarez interned for the YMCA’s Community Action Team, a group of young individuals promoting social justice and civic engagement in Maryvale.

Armando Alvarez (left), 20, and Hector Paredes, 18, believe their work in the Community Action Team helps raise political awareness in their communities. (Photo by Jahlil Rush)

During a recent evening at the Y, Alvarez and other young people involved in the Community Action Team said they have come to realize the importance of voting and to see a role for themselves in encouraging more civic engagement in their community.

“If you empower these young people with knowledge, you give them the space to ask questions,” said Brenda Guerrero, the staff coordinator of the Maryvale Y’s Community Action Team. “That’s the only way that these young people, these Latino families, Black families, any kind of POC family is going to fully understand what they hold.”

With the help of CAT and Guerrero, Alvarez obtained a job with Central Arizonans for a Sustainable Economy, an organization working towards economic and social justice for immigrants and refugees in Arizona. Alvarez said his experiences at CAT and CASE showed him the link between civic engagement and change within his own neighborhood.

“Finding this other job and seeing how voting is a huge, huge, huge, huge thing that affects our communities,” Alvarez said. “It opened my eyes to stuff like with political or civil liberties.”

The CAT program at the Maryvale YMCA is one of a number of efforts to engage Latinos in politics as the 2022 midterm elections approach. Others include Chicanos Por La Causa, which invested $10 million, in April, to get out the Latino vote in Arizona, as well as the work of the nonpartisan Get Out The Vote campaign.

During the 2020 presidential election, Latino communities played a crucial role in Joe Biden’s win in Arizona and across the country, according to an analysis from UCLA. In 2020, Latino voter turnout surged 31 percent nationally over 2016. In Arizona, 71 percent of Latinos voted for Biden during the 2020 presidential election. In precincts with a high density of Latinos, Biden received 74 percent of the votes compared to 46 percent in precincts with a lower density of Latinos.

Prof. Lisa Magaña from the School of Transborder Studies at Arizona State University said that, in past elections, grassroots organizations have effectively mobilized Latino voters simply by involving them in political discourse. Magaña predicts this will continue.

“Grassroots groups are going to target first time ever people to vote… People that had never, ever been thought of themselves as politically engaged, politically active,” Magaña said.

However, members of the GOP have made several attempts to counteract the work of grassroots organizations by passing legislation that may stymie the members of the new electorate, such as naturalized immigrants. Gov. Doug Ducey of Arizona recently signed into legislation a proof-of-citizenship law which could preclude thousands of individuals from voting in federal elections.

According to Prof. Eileen Diaz McConnell, a demographics expert from ASU’s School of Transborder Studies, laws like this may cause unnecessary trouble for those who may not know where their documentation is.

Yet, McConnell also said that the knowledge of these laws often spurs those who are foreign-born to become even more politically engaged.

“More anti-immigrant laws actually lead more immigrants who are naturalized to register to vote because they’re responding to the fact that they don’t have any rights,” McConnell said.

Members of the Maryvale YMCA’s Community Action Team discussing the state of Arizona politics. (Photo by Jahlil Rush)

Ulises Ruiz, a CAT intern at the Maryvale Y, said he feels motivated to vote in the upcoming election to improve college opportunities for his loved ones who are DACA recipients. A November 2022 ballot measure will ask Arizona voters to approve in-state tuition at state-run universities to DACA students. Currently, they pay out-of-state tuition.

“I see a lot of family and friends just graduate from high school and not pursue any further education because they believe they’re restricted in terms of what grants they can get and what scholarships they can get,” Ruiz said.

Latinos of all ages are investing their time and energy in their own communities in hopes of improving representation for the group as a whole. Children are relaying information to their parents who historically may not have been provided with as many resources.

“We, the young people, are able to educate ourselves and then also educate our parents, then that makes a big difference,” Alvarez said.

According to Guerrero, raising awareness among Latinos about the impact they can have in political systems, especially at a young age, may lead to a realization of their political strength.

“Whatever you want, educate yourself and vote on it,” Guerrero said.

Measures like Proposition 208 are a great example of issues worth learning more about, according to Alvarez. Through his work at CASE, he continues to educate those in his community on ballot-proposals that would directly impact them.

In April, Alvarez worked with his team to collect signatures for a referendum on a $1.8 billion development project called the South Pier in Tempe Town Lake. The Tempe City Council authorized the project in February and gave the developers a tax break lasting eight years. Alvarez and those at CASE wanted to educate the people of the community and have them play a greater role in its fate.

“Literally none of us know how it’s going to benefit us,” Alvarez said. “What we’re doing is letting them know and letting them decide.”

Whether the referendum will be added to the ballot has not been decided yet, but the seeds of political knowledge and empowerment have been planted.

Written by VHaller · Categorized: Vote

May 17 2022

Phoenix’s Metro Area Experiences Growing Pains

W. Boston Street in downtown Chandler bustles with restaurants, shops and new housing construction. (Photo by Tahreem Ashraf)

By Noel Stevens

Few know more about the inner workings of Chandler, Arizona, a booming city in the southern part of Phoenix’s metropolitan area, than Micah Miranda, its director of economic development. One of his roles is to make Chandler a place that attracts talented professionals, who are increasingly coming from out of state.

“Every morning on the drive in on the freeway, I see all these California license plates,” Miranda said with a chuckle. “They’re here; they’re everywhere!”

Miranda’s observation is evidence of a truth in Arizona supported by data. Phoenix is seeing a population surge fueled by out-of-state migration, one that is outpacing its current real estate market and quickly eliminating any hopes for a more affordable, suburban lifestyle in outlying cities like Chandler.

The 2020 census found that the Phoenix metropolitan area is currently the fastest growing in the nation. Chandler’s population specifically grew about 15 percent to 272,011 in 2020 from 236,123 a decade earlier. Projections from the Maricopa Association of Governments expect Chandler’s population to reach well over 300,000 by 2030.

A 2020 study by the same group found that Californians account for 19 percent of households moving to Maricopa County, which encompasses Phoenix and its metro area. More transplants hail from California than the next top three states combined.

Graphic shows the states that are fueling population growth in Arizona. (Graphic courtesy of City of Chandler)

Other suburbs are seeing similar growth. Buckeye, for example, a city in the western-most part of Phoenix, almost doubled its population between 2010 and 2020. Goodyear, which neighbors Buckeye, grew to almost 100,000 in 2020 from 65,275 residents in 2010.

In Chandler, the growth has been intentional. The economic development team and city officials target companies that bring jobs in high-tech manufacturing, automotive and aerospace technology, as well as IT and software development.

“Compatibility is important to us,” said Miranda, who emphasized that the city’s economic-development plan is not single-minded and takes the idea of being a “good neighbor” into account.

One of Chandler’s biggest economic success stories has been Intel, which first brought employees to Chandler in 1979 and now employs 12,000 people, making it the city’s largest employer. Plans are under way for Intel to expand and bring another 3,000 jobs to Chandler by 2024.

One side effect of all this expansion and economic development is its impact on the housing market. Homes are scarce and expensive. A study from Gruen Gruen + Associates found that Chandler is short about 23,000 affordable housing units.

“The city can only do so much,” said Miranda, despite mentioning possible zoning changes that, if approved, would shift some retail space to residential use.

Micah Miranda, Chandler’s economic development director, explains growth patterns in the city. (Photo by Farah Javed)

Sharyn Younger, a real estate broker for Copper Summit in Chandler, describes the current market as “frenzied” and “insane,” and prices are going up astronomically. A 2022 analysis by the Cromford Report found that the median home price in greater Phoenix has almost doubled to $470,000 since February 2018.

Properties also are selling within days, and investors make up an increasing number of buyers, which limits the supply.

“I have buyers that call me crying,” Younger said. “They’re just not getting their offers accepted because of the competition.”

According to Arizona State University’s Morrison Institute for Public Policy, the entire state of Arizona is short about 270,000 units that are needed across all demographics, from affordable to luxury housing. Ashlee Tziganuk, who specializes in housing research at the Morrison Institute, says the shortage can be traced back to the 2008 Great Recession when homes stopped being built.

“Essentially, we just have never really caught back up with our housing stock…we’re just in a position right now where the supply is not meeting the demand,” said Tziganuk.

The housing crunch is not just happening in the suburbs. The impact of high prices and low supply is also being felt inside the city limits of Phoenix.

“I haven’t seen anything good,” said Ylenia Aguilar, a school-board member who serves Osborn, a district in central Phoenix. She cites a rise in homeless youth as her chief concern.

“I want to say growth is great and amazing, but it hasn’t been in my community,” Aguilar said. “We obviously did not plan for this growth, and we are not meeting the needs of the most vulnerable populations.”

Another effect of growth is increasing diversity. Chandler, a historically white area, is becoming more ethnically mixed. According to Census data, the percentage of Chandler’s white population has declined  to 58 percent in 2020 from 77 percent in 1990, and the percentages of all minority groups have been growing steadily.

Arizona at large is only expected to become more diverse. Eileen Diaz McConnell, a professor and demographer at ASU’s School of Transborder Studies, says that the Arizona Latino population makes up almost a third of the electorate.

This percentage is only expected to increase as first-generation Mexican immigrants continue come of voting age. In her research, McConnell found that over half the state’s population that is under 18 years old now consists of minorities.

“We know that racial diversification is increasing,” McConnell said.

McConnell points out that Arizona’s white population is both shrinking and getting older, and disparities between age groups are contributing to cultural conflicts.

“We have a lot of people who came here to retire,” said McConnell. “They are not interested in the quality of the schools, and they are not interested in paying more taxes.”

Lindsay Love, a Chandler school-board member, has witnessed cultural shifts in the city. (Photo courtesy of Love)

Some are seeing these tensions play out in real time, like Lindsay Love, the first and only black member of Chandler’s school board. Following her election in 2018, Love found herself the subject of death threats, online attacks and intimidation, which was driven by a white, fringe minority.

Love points to the city’s origin as a ranching and farming town and the rapid changes driven by the tech industry as the reasons behind these cultural clashes.

Legacy families “are not liking to see the change,” said Love. “I can understand it on some level; right next to my community was a farm, now it’s a Starbucks and some IT businesses.”

Written by VHaller · Categorized: Growth

May 17 2022

Overheated Market Squeezes Phoenix Home Buyers and Renters

Lorraine Valenzuela knows that her housing situation is precarious and fears she might lose her rental home in Chandler if the property is targeted by developers. (Photo by Tahreem Ashraf)

By Tahreem Ashraf

Lorraine Valenzuela’s small white house in downtown Chandler, Arizona, is dwarfed by a large apartment complex going up across the street and flanked on the other side by an upscale bed and breakfast where rents for casitas start at $298 a night.

Her modest home, which she rents for $1,100 a month, is a holdout in Chandler’s red-hot housing market and reflects how difficult it has become for residents to find an affordable place to live.

“The landlords do not have a top off; they think they can charge whatever they want,” said Valenzuela, a hotel worker. She added that she paid $500 a month for her last rental home, on the same street, but was forced to move when it was sold and converted into a wedding venue.

The sky-rocketing cost of housing is one of the biggest challenges faced by Valenzuela and other low-income residents in the Phoenix metropolitan area. Low inventory, a growing population, zoning restrictions that favor single family homes and increased labor costs for new construction are adding pressure to a housing market under extreme stress.

The Stanley, a luxury vacation rental in downtown Chandler, is an example of the changing nature of the city, which has led to higher real estate prices. (Photo by Tahreem Ashraf)

The current housing crunch is in sharp contrast to the development of the Phoenix area since the mid-20th century when its climate and low cost of living attracted new residents, many of them retirees, from other parts of the country. The state thrived as a suburban hub, where the American dream of owning a single-family house was easily attainable.

Liza Kurtz, a research analyst at Morrison Institute of Public Policy at Arizona State University, said the 2008 recession was partly to blame for the region’s current housing shortage. After housing values plummeted in 2008 and the mortgage crisis left homeowners under water, new construction slowed and has not picked up enough to meet the recent growing demand, she said.

“The supply is so low and the demand is so high that it has pushed up the cost of home prices as well as rental prices to really an extreme,” Kurz said.

A growing population is exacerbating the housing situation.

The 2020 Census found Phoenix to be the fastest growing major city in the country. With a population of 1.6 million, it surpassed Philadelphia as the fifth largest city in the U.S. and recorded a growth rate of 11.2 percent over 2010.

The 10 largest cities all grew this past decade, and 8 of the 10 grew at a faster rate this decade compared to the last. pic.twitter.com/qHzF2XRKGk

— U.S. Census Bureau (@uscensusbureau) August 12, 2021

In an effort to increase housing stock, some municipalities in the Phoenix metro area have begun introducing multi-unit buildings, but existing zoning laws, which favor single-family homes, mean the process can be burdensome and involve re-zoning. In Arizona, about 878,000 acres of land is zoned for single-family homes and only 17,000 acres are authorized for apartments, according to the Maricopa County Association of Governments.

Other zoning policies hamper the development of higher-density housing, which would help alleviate shortages. Kurz points to the  Private Property Rights Protection Act, which states that if municipal governments change land use and zoning in a way that would lower property values in a neighborhood, they are required to compensate the property owners for their loss.

“It has an enormous chilling effect on a lot of development and zoning tools as municipal governments are worried that they will have to reimburse for the property value loss,” said Kutz.

Housing 3
The increasing market demand is pushing for more luxury housing and apartment developments in Chandler. (Photo by Tahreem Ashraf)

Developers also experience public opposition to proposed multi-unit housing projects because some residents believe the necessary zoning changes in their neighborhoods will depress property values. The resulting protests often delay  projects.

NIMBYism not only makes it hard for affordable housing projects to get zoning approvals, but also restricts many luxury developments in the area. (Photo by Tahreem Ashraf)

“It is so deeply ingrained that people will really get scared when any sort of density comes in their neighborhood. So, you get a lot of nimbyism and people going to city council and saying we don’t want this in our neighborhood and a lot of times that really hurts people who need affordable housing,” said Ashlee Tziganuk, a research analyst at the Morrison Institute.

To the southeast of Phoenix, the city of Chandler is representative of the emerging housing crisis in the state. It has seen its population increase by 17 percent, since the recent census,  and is projected to grow 11 percent by 2030.

Billing itself as the “community of innovation,” Chandler has a history of high-tech job development, which has attracted people from different states adding to its population.

Chandler, too, is experiencing spikes in rent and a housing shortage, exacerbating the affordability issue across the city. According to a city government report on the state of affordable housing in Chandler, sale prices for homes and rental apartments across the economic spectrum are rising. From 2021-2022, the sale price of a three-bedroom house jumped 25 percent, meanwhile, the rental units saw an increase of 17 percent. The average cost for a three-bedroom home is $502,000 and the average monthly rent is $1,880 per unit.

Leah Powell, Chandler’s director of neighborhood resources, said when people at the higher-income end are not able to afford higher prices they start buying and renting homes previously attainable by middle-income residents. This puts added pressure on prices and reduces the inventory of affordable housing.

Housing 2
A growing population and housing shortage has made affordable homes difficult to find in Chandler. (Photo by Tahreem Ashraf)

“We have a supply issue at the very top end of housing,” said Powell. “We have a higher-income population that is pushing the bubble for affordable housing.”

With all the controversy and uncertainty surrounding the housing market, Valenzuela fears she might not be able to hold onto her home, if the rent goes up as it has elsewhere in Chandler.

“They are forcing us to live in cars. We can’t pay rent,” she said. “You can see these places are going up and they are packing them as close and tight as they possibly can to rent out more.”

Written by VHaller · Categorized: Growth

May 02 2022

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